Kuppy's Korner

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Last year, I wrote Part 1 of The Great Macro Dreamscape (Part 2 is coming). To summarize, my view is that the coming decade will be the best of times...
We learned from from Zimbabwe that paradoxically, Bad is Good when it comes to the stock market.
Whenever someone takes the other side of my trade, I want to put myself in their shoes. Is this a worthwhile opponent with a differentiated view?? Am I stepping into...
Last summer, I was having lunch with a friend at a plain vanilla shop, who kept checking his phone and muttering, “this NVIDIA is killing me.” After the third time...
It seems that everyone has a blog these days. Once a year, we must stop everything, tally up the scores and see who got it right. Besides, what’s the point...
Great!! Another E&P that raised the quarterly dividend by two cents. Who F*cking Cares!!?? The debate about buybacks vs. dividends has been going on for over a century. I’m not...
It is said that Argentina has an economic crisis roughly every decade, and it seems to last for approximately ten years… In a previous posting, I noted that the upcoming...
In late March of 2020, one of the greatest wealth transfers of my lifetime began. It remade our world—or at least it remade my world. Those who recognized Covid as...
Harris “Kuppy” Kupperman sits down with Mike Alkin, CIO and Founder of Sachem Cove Partners from the floor of the 2023 World Nuclear Association (WNA) Symposium to discuss how attending...
The Big Short has become a cult classic movie amongst finance guys. Of course, we all know how the story ends, so there’s no suspense. Instead, the movie is a...
Warren Buffett famously told investors that if they wanted to prosper during periods of inflation, then they needed to buy companies with high returns on capital and pricing power. As...
Emerging Markets (EMs) are highly fragile. This is due to the fact that usually when there’s a recession, capital flees, the currency melts, inflation increases and interest rates explode, choking...
As the owner of a hedge fund business (defined as a management company and incentive fees received though an affiliated entity), I’m always amazed at the returns on capital in...
In my prior article about breakouts, I missed out on a chance to speak about the recent change in market structure, and what it means for all of us as...
This post originally appeared in KEDM on June 4, 2023… “We originally spoke about Argentina back in October of 2021 and said to put it on your radar. We think...
Should we be positioned for Feudalism?? Not as a joke, but as the only mental model that explains why the macro world acts the way it does right now. Should...
Last month, I chose to strip away all the hubris around AI and ask one simple question, one that oddly no one had really bothered to ask; how much revenue...
I’ve been at this investing game a long time. Long enough to see cycles repeat themselves, cycles that I literally thought I would never again see. Yet in finance, everything...
I like to think of myself as an aggressive investor. I rarely hedge, and I rarely take my net exposure down below 100. More ideas than capital is how I...
Liberation Day became Liquidation Day. I’ve noted a few times now, that MAGA is decidedly not bullish US equity prices. In fact, in my year-end posting, I mentioned that for...
Emerging Market governments are highly attuned to changes in their bond markets. This is because they risk getting cut off from funding at any sign of stress. Often-times, Emerging Market...

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Nothing in this article, podcast or communication (collectively, referred to as the “Communication”) should be construed as investment advice of any kind. This Communication is not a recommendation, or an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy, an interest in any security or derivative instrument, including an interest in any investment vehicle managed or advised by Praetorian PR LLC and affiliates (together “Praetorian”). Consult your financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Unless noted otherwise, the information presented by Praetorian within the contents of Communication, represent opinions of Harris Kupperman or Praetorian and no representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information, and Praetorian assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. As such, the opinions may not be complete, are subject to change, and are provided for informational purposes only. Additionally, certain information may be based on third party sources and, although believed to be reliable, has not been independently verified and Praetorian is not responsible for third-party errors.

The views expressed in the Communication may include forward-looking statements as of the original date of the publication which may be identified by, among other things, the use of words such as “expects,” “anticipates,” “believes,” or “estimates,” or these terms’ negatives, and similar expressions. Forward-looking statements reflect Praetorian’s opinions as of such date with respect to possible future events. Actual results could differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. No party has an obligation to update any of the forward-looking statements in this document. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such statements.